La Teoría Epidémica en la Bibliometría Brasilera
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18225/ci.inf.v50i1.5049Keywords:
Bibliometria. Cientometria. Brasil. Teoria epidêmica. Modelo SIR.Abstract
Aplica o modelo da teoria epidêmica à literatura sobre métricas (bibliometria, cientometria, infometria, webmetria, arquivometria, tecnometria, patentometria, etc.) produzidas e publicadas no Brasil e por brasileiros no exterior. Foram identificados 6180 documentos produzidos por 9715 autores diferentes, de 1973 a 2018. A proporção de autores em relação às publicações para toda a população de quarenta e seis anos foi de 1,6. As pesquisas sobre a bibliometria brasileira entraram em estado epidêmico na década de 2000. O modelo epidêmico indica que os infectados continuarão a crescer sem atingir ainda seu ponto de saturação logística.
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